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Question

Can you show me a working example of a sports arbitrage opportunity and how the investment would be staked?


Answer

A real sports arbitrage opportunity from 20th January 2019 is shown below:

Real Life Example Arb:



Italian Serie C - Group C Football Match

Matera » 5.85 (Marathonbet) » £20.59 returns £120.45
Draw » 5.15 (Marathonbet) » £23.39 returns £120.46
Sicula Leonzio » 2.15 (Betfred) » £56.02 returns £120.44

Total arb / surebet profit : 20.448%

A correctly staked investment of £100 guarantees a return of £120.44 no matter the outcome. That's £20.44 profit due to discrepancies in the bookmakers' odds, guaranteeing a 20.448% profit on your investment in under 24 hours!

The above information tells us that a betting market exists on the Italian Serie C - Group C Football Match between Matera and Sicula Leonzio. It also tells us that Marathonbet have odds of 5.85 for Matera to win, Marathonbet have odds of 5.15 for a draw, and that Betfred have odds of 2.15 for Sicula Leonzio to win.

By applying a simple mathematical formula to those odds, we are able to calculate that we can cover all possible outcomes of the match and make a guaranteed 20.448% return on our investment.

We would invest our money in proportion to the odds on each possibility. The amount to invest on each outcome is calculated using another simple formula. £20.59 invested on Matera returns £120.45, £23.39 invested on the draw returns £120.46, and £56.02 invested on Matera returns £120.45.

£20.59 x 5.85 = £120.45
£23.39 x 5.15 = £120.46
£56.02 x 2.15 = £120.44

Risk free profit = £20.44

Our members have access to several arbitrage calculation tools that automatically calculate the size of the arbitrage opportunity AND how much to stake on each selection!

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